Forecast archive · September 7 estimates

September 7 regional forecast archive

Archived outlook from the September 11 edition, based on the September 7 forecast. The estimates below are preserved for comparison as the season develops. The September 13 forecast is also preserved in the archive.

Correction, September 13: the last additional Division III boys qualifier in 2025 ran 21:13 after eleven teams and twenty-two additional individuals advanced. The earlier reference to approximately 22:04 was incorrect. Division II girls in 2026 lists four teams and two individual-entry schools, correcting the five-team and one-individual description below. The original September 7 estimates remain unchanged.

Road to regionals

The September 7 estimates for the October 24 East District meet at Cambridge are preserved below. Final entries and the race itself decide qualification.

The most important rule: runners on a qualifying team advance regardless of their time. The ranges below estimate the last individual qualifier after runners from advancing teams are removed. They are Cambridge-course race times—not universal season-PR targets.
Division II

Boys: 3 teams + 6

Projected boys cut: 18:50–19:20

Girls: 4 teams + 8

The September 7 forecast did not set an individual time estimate for girls. Its five-team and one-individual field description was corrected on September 13 to four teams and two individual-entry schools.

Division III

Boys: 12 teams + 24

Projected boys cut: 20:15–21:15

Girls: 13 teams + 26

Projected girls cut: 25:00–27:30

Division IV

Boys: 4 teams + 8

Projected boys cut: 18:50–19:15

Girls: 4 teams + 8

Projected girls cut: 22:05–22:35

SchoolDivisionBoys individual rangeGirls individual rangeConfidence
Buckeye TrailIV18:50–19:1522:05–22:35Moderate
CambridgeBoys listed IND by OHSAAIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
MeadowbrookIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
CaldwellIV18:50–19:1522:05–22:35Moderate
ShenandoahIV18:50–19:1522:05–22:35Moderate
BarnesvilleIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
Union LocalIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
NewcomerstownIV18:50–19:1522:05–22:35Moderate
Indian ValleyIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
ClaymontIII20:15–21:1525:00–27:30Low
GarawayIV18:50–19:1522:05–22:35Moderate
John GlennII18:50–19:20Finish / no cut projectedLow

The September 7 outlook combined the 2026 assignments and early-season results with the 2025 Cambridge races. Last year's individual boundaries were 19:23 in Division II boys and 19:13 and 22:14 in Division IV boys and girls. The Division III boys reference was later corrected to 21:13. These early estimates remain here as a record of the opening outlook.

Official 2026 fields: D-II boys · D-II girls · D-III boys · D-III girls · D-IV boys · D-IV girls

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